The quotes, opinions, answers and review of the 2001 Annual General Meeting are made up of work entirely performed by brownd on the Stockhouse Bulletin Board for Angoss. Tiger-USA.com thanks brownd for all his work in the preparation and reporting of this material. This page is posted entirely for interested parties of the company and is not to be considered an endorsement of Angoss Software Corporation. Tiger-USA.com does not guarantee the accuracy of this review. NOTE: In the essence of time and space questions with no answers were edited. Your mileage may vary....
| My take
on the meeting is that is was excellent. It was a sleek presentation and
the President's message was given in a very confident straightforward
and forthright manner - with the 'tree bark off' as they say in Texas.
Apps made an extra effort to answer all questions, with Joe Martin having to cut it off at about 6:30. It was clear that Apps would have stayed there until every question was answered, which was a good sign from my point of view. Apps possesses great passion for ANC, he called it a 'company that will one day be one of Canada's great success stories'! I didn't get the impression that this was hype. He's got a healthy ego, which is another good thing in my mind, given that he's going up against bigger, better financed competitors every day and in that situation you really do need to believe in yourself and your team. It was actually funny during some portions of the meeting. He'd say something incredibly cocky, like 'is the guy who paid 8.40 per share, and thought ANC was a precious metals minig company, in the room this year', and then you'd see him pull himself back realizing that he might be offending a bunch of his shareholders who didn't buy at 8.40, but who did buy at 5.00 not knowing alot about ANC, and who have decided to hold on to their shares. It was the same thing with his description of the Working Ventures litigation. It's clear he's livid with Working Ventures. He went on a mini-tirade against them, and then as he realized he might be going too far, pulled himself back with the conclusion that 'oh well, it's just business'- which clearly he didn't believe, nor did anyone else in the room! All of this is way too much detail on my part, except to say that Apps is pumped about ANC and he's got a healthy dose of attitude (backed up by intelligence) which, if channeled properly, is an excellent quality in a leader. |
Question listing:
1. What is ANC's current working capital position? Is
this amount sufficient for the company's purposes in the short (6 month) term to
mid (12 month) term assuming a financing cannot be completed on terms
satisfactory to ANC in the near term?
2. What was the reason that ANC did not consummate the
equity financing it was negotiating in the fall of 2000? What is the reason ANC
did not complete a financing in the spring and summer of 2000?
3. To your knowledge, what is the percentage share
ownership of: (i) retail investors; versus (ii) bank, asset manager, and other
institutional ANC shareholders?
4. To your knowledge, is the percentage share ownership of
bank, asset manager and other institutional players growing or declining?
6. Is ANC currently considering a private placement by
any of its technology partners (i.e., Siebel, MSFT, Sybase, Whitecross). Has ANC
tried to get these companies to invest in the past?
8. What does ANC view as the function of its CFO? At
many "micro-cap" companies, CFO's play more than one role. In addition
to keeping the books of account, they also play a corporate finance role? Does
ANC's CFO have the necessary business network to play a corporate finance role?
9. Has ANC considered an issuer bid (i.e., stock
buy-back)?
10. Please comment on the fact that ANC's shares are
trading at less than 50% of their 1999 high and at only at 4% of their 2000
high?
A. CORPORATE FINANCE MATTERS
1. What is ANC's current working capital position? Is this
amount sufficient for the company's purposes in the short (6 month) term to mid
(12 month) term assuming a financing cannot be completed on terms satisfactory
to ANC in the near term?
There has been no material change in ANC's working capital position. It
currently sits at just under $1 million dollars in cash and approx. $1million
dollars in receivables, less current payables and license fees payable of
approx. a total of $1,000,000. My original concern in asking this question was
that since ANC lost approx. $375,000 in Q1, they might have also eaten into a
significant portion of their cash reserves. The Q1 interim report shows that
they 'burned' just $33,000 in cash in Q1. It appears that they collected on alot
of receivables in Q1 (about $250,000 more than usual and maybe even some of the
doubtful accounts, but can't tell for sure) which buffered their 'paper' loss.
ANC appears to be beyond the issue of 'viability'. That is to say, it's got a
decent working capital position and will tailor its expenses to ensure that it
makes a profit or breaks even, while it waits for the equity markets to come
back, at which time a financing can be done on more attractive terms.
From Eric's description, and as has been widely reported in the papers
generally, the equity markets for 'micro cap' financings dried-up in the fall of
2000, and ANC refuses to do a financing at 'fire-sale' prices, which would
result in massive shareholder dilution. That's definitely the right answer. As to why ANC didn't do a financing in the spring or summer of 2000, the
answer (in so many words) is that the markets were so fluid at the time that
they (and a lot of other companies) were caught off guard. There probably only
was a 4 month window (it is rare that financings get done in the summer) and
many of the financings that got done during that window were already in progress
prior to that 4 month window. To have benefited from the run-up, ANC would have
had to have gotten a financing done from a standing start during that 4 month
period, which would have been virtually impossible. That's the explanation, but
it is still disappointing it didn't occur.
3. To your knowledge, what is the percentage share ownership
of: (i) retail investors; versus (ii) bank, asset manager, and other
institutional ANC shareholders?
The vast majority of the shares are held by retail investors. ANC has over
8,000 shareholders, which is an extremely broad distribution of its shares. No
exact percentages were given.
4. To your knowledge, is the percentage share ownership of
bank, asset manager and other institutional players growing or declining?
According to Eric, there has been institutional interest from time to time.
My sense is that the percentage ownership of institutional shareholders is
static or declining.
6. Is ANC currently considering a private placement by any of
its technology partners (i.e., Siebel, MSFT, Sybase, Whitecross). Has ANC tried
to get these companies to invest in the past?
This question wasn't asked, or addressed, but my sense is that the answer is
no. Eric is loathe to do any type of equity financing at the current prices,
whether with a strategic partner or otherwise, and Eric has the luxury of not
having his back to the wall on the financing issue. Whitecross has its own
issues, they're the 'defaulting' technology partner referenced in the Annual
Report. Although Apps did say ANC and Whitecross are trying to work things out.
Sybase has gone through some organizational change and didn't want to 'cough up
the coin' as Apps put it, for further development work by ANC and therefore
things are quiet on the Sybase front, although Apps said they could heat up in
the future. Microsoft and Siebel both have lots of dough, but nothing specific,
or otherwise, was mentioned in terms of them being interested in making a
strategic investment in ANC at this stage.
8. What does ANC view as the function of its CFO? At many
"micro-cap" companies, CFO's play more than one role. In addition to
keeping the books of account, they also play a corporate finance role? Does
ANC's CFO have the necessary business network to play a corporate finance role?
It's clear that Apps has a very high regard for Lon Vining' s abilities. I
have no reason to disagree with him - Vining seems competent. . My sense is that
Apps is clearly leading any type of corporate finance initiatives on ANC's
behalf. He made the point that his background is in corporate finance, and he
knows the 'lay of that land.'
He did mention that he has a 'name' or reputable US investment bank (who is
very familiar with the data mining space ( I'll bet its Lazard Freres), chasing
him to give that investment bank the mandate to ferret out suitable acquisitions
that ANC might like to make. Apps mentioned that he is not adverse to going down
that road and raised it as an example of how ANC is appearing on the 'radar
screen' of knowledgeable investment banking institutions. Knowing a bit about
the M&A game myself, I also know that 'buy' mandates sometimes have a way of
turning into 'sell' or 'merger' mandates, which is not bad for any of us
assuming the price is right. Our protection here is that ANC management owns 7
million shares, so there's no chance they're going to sell into a 'low-ball'
bid.
Question not asked, or dealt with, although I doubt they are considering a
stock buy-back. Apps stated at the meeting that if he had the money, he'd hire
16 more sales staff, which, in my mind, means their intention is to plow free
cash flow back into operations, and not devote it to buying shares back. That's
the rights answer as far as I am concerned.
10. Please comment on the fact that ANC's shares are trading
at less than 50% of their 1999 high and at only at 4% of their 2000 high?
He's as disappointed as any of us given that, as he said, he owns 3 million
shares and was buying at 3 dollars last March, and 75 cents more recently in
January.
I don't get the sense that Apps is independently wealthy and his salary at
ANC is by no means excessive. As he explained (without being whiney), the
dollars he invested were his own and this meant he would have to sacrifice in
other areas of his life - he wasn't just toying around with play money.
Apps made the point that in his view, ANC 's stock is way 'oversold' i.e .
seriously undervalued. As parisfan noted, Apps said it's trading at approx. 2.5
times trailing 2000 revenues, which is very low for tech companies.
Joe Martin took the helm for this question and said that it's a cheap way of
attracting and retaining talented people. Apps also took a crack at the question
and stated in a somewhat more spirited fashion that the options are for present
and future employees, and that management needs the flexibility of options to
keep and get good people. He indicated that it was not a given that all 5.7
million options are going to be granted, the actual number granted from time to
time being a board decision. Any decision to issue options will be exercised
judiciously. 12. What is the status of the following proposed ANC
products? I asked Apps this question (verbatim as set out above) and the answer was
really quite interesting. With respect to KnowledgeExplorer, he said that this was a 'thin client
interface' ?? (or something to that effect as I don't understand the technical
stuff) and as such, was a natural adjunct to their product devoplement agenda.
He gave the impression that this product would be coming out shortly. As I
understand it, KnowledgeExplorer has something to do with Microsoft's Internet
Explorer, so stay tuned, it should be interesting.
The most interesting response (actually non-response) came with respect to
KnowledgeServer for PeopleSoft. Apps tried to skip over that product altogether.
When I pressed him on it, and reminded him that the November, 2000 issue of
KnowledgeNet stated that KnowledgeServer for PeopleSoft would be out by the end
of the first calender quarter (ie March 31,2001) he denied that the KnowledgeNet
said that (it does, check it out under Product Update) and then when I pressed
further, he curtly said it was a 'work in progress' and gave the distinct
impression that the either didn't want to, or most likely couldn't, talk about
it any further. I didn't want to torment him any more (the 54 questions being
enough for one day), so I dropped it. My hunch is that something material is in
the works between ANC and PeopleSoft and it's too early for Apps to talk about
it. I think the early reference in the KnowledgeNet Report was probably a miscue
on ANC's part and they're being very careful not to disclose until PeopleSoft
provides authorization to do so. This is all just a guess on my part.
14. In the company's November '99 press release and in its
fiscal 1999 Annual Report, ANC announced the entering into with Sybase of a
Development Services Agreement in connection with Sybase's Industry Studio
Warehouse initiative. What is the current status of the ANC's relationship with
Sybase? Apps explained that ANC completed its work under the Development Services
Agreement with Sybase over the course of fiscal 2000. When that work was
completed and it came time to negotiate for further development work to be done,
Sybase had undergone some organization changes (maybe ANC lost its 'champion' at
Sybase) and they 'refused to cough up the coin' as Apps so indelicately, but
accurately, put it (which I take to mean Sybase refused to pay ANC what it
wanted). So the 'net-net' is that things with Sybase are not proceeding at this
time.
The positive 'spin' on 'L'affaire Sybase' is that Apps is serious when he
says that ANC will no longer 'give away' its technology, and if push comes to
shove, he'll l walk if he feels that they won't be paid fair market value. The
other angle may be that given ANC's close relationship with Microsoft, ANC
didn't really care about the relationhsip with Sybase (ie it was a 'throw away')
and perhaps from a sensitivity point of view , the chump change that Sybase was
offering wasn't worth it if Microsoft was going to get its nose out of joint
because ANC was doing development work for a competitive database provider.
The negative (no 'spin' required) is that ANC is currently not doing
development work for Sybase.
15. What are the details of ANC's current relationship with
Microsoft?
From Anc's perspective, the company has focused its software engineering
efforts primarily on leveraging Microsoft applications, tools and technologies.
Windows is ANC's reference platform; SQL Server is its reference database;
From Miscrofsoft's perspective, as Apps pointed out, being the largest
software company in the world, it could have chosen any datamining company it
wanted, to deal with. Microsoft chose Angoss....period......full stop. That
answer to me is very compelling, both in terms of its simplicity and its
accuracy.
From Microsoft's customers' perspective, Apps made the point that Microsfoft,
being the largest software company in the world, has a number of corporate
clients who follow very closely the 'hot' new areas that Microsoft is getting
into, and they often seek Microsoft's advice on who the leaders are in these
emerging areas. With Microsoft now very publicly telling the world that dataming
is important, Apps forsees a dialogue taking place between Microsoft and its
corporate customers, as to who the leaders are in the datamining space.
Hopefully ANC, given its strong relationship with Microsoft, will be front and
centre in those discussion.
Apps mentioned that Knosys and its relationship with Microsoft is, in the
OLAP field, the best example of what ANC is hoping to achieve with Microsoft in
the datamining field. He stated that ANC, with respect to datamining, is where
Knosys started about two years ago in the field of OLAP, all in relationship to
Microsoft. I've checked out the Knosys website and they clearly have a very
strong relationship with Microsoft on the OLAP side. Unfortunately, they're a
private company so revenue figures aren't readily available. ANC has also in the
past mentioned that it has done joint presentations with Knosys to Microsoft.
Definately something to follow-up on. Leads, glorious leads.....leads.....leads....and more leads!
In all seriouness, the analogy that is sometimes used for the Dataming SDK is
that of 'training wheels', or as I like to think of it, a 'training bra'. Both
training wheels and a training-bra have what the auto manufacturers refer to as
'built-in obsolescene' i.e. they're not meant to last forever i.e you grow out
of them in short order. In fact, rumour has it that the only person from my
Junior High School days who is still wearing a training bra is the poor guy who,
with surgical assistance, ended up becoming a girl!
It's actually kind of neat. The Dataimining SDK, which is now available for
download from Microsoft's website (Note that Microsoft doesn't call ANC's
product a Datamining SDK, it calls it 'DataMining Consumer Controls') In order
to download the DataMining SDK, you've got to first enter into a Licence
Agreement with ANC, which is also available for download from the Microsoft
website. The Datamining SDK is meant to train and get developers (who either
work in-house for large corporations and develop software applications for
internal use, or who work for corporations who develop software applications for
sale to third parties) comfortable with the idea of adding 'intelligence' or
analtyic (datamining) capabilites to the software applications they develop.
However the Datamining SDK only gives them a taste. In order to get the full
meal, they've got to go ANC and buy, all at a very reasonable price, the
full-blown KnowledgeStudio SDK. But hey, why does ANC have to wait for the
developer to call? It doesn't. When the License Agreement with ANC is entered
into by the developer via Microsoft's website, ANC now has the developer's
contact coordinates and ANC can be proactive and make the contact first.
17. What are the prospects of ANC for future direct revenue
generating (as opposed to lead generating) initiatives with Microsoft?
Do you ever watch those nature shows on the Discovery Channel? The ones that
sometimes profile the world's most voracious predator, the Great White Shark,
are really interesting. In those shows do you ever notice that there are those
little pilot fishies that spend their whole lives, in relative safety and
comfort, doing nothing more than following the Great White around? Those little
fishies can survive by living off the scraps that are left behind after the
Great Sea Monster is finished devouring his prey. Now the Great White coud care
less about those pilot fishies (although they probably are useful for scratching
his back at night in those oh so hard to reach places) and he certainly doesn't
hunt for the direct benefit of those little 'hangers on', but one of the
indirect and unintended benefits is that those pilot fish get fed each and every
day by 'man's worst nightmare'
In my experience, the 'laws of the jungle' are equally applicable to the laws
of business. That should come as a surprise to nobody, as businessmen generally
exhibit behavioural patterns strikingly similar to those of a baboon! But think
of Microsoft as a Great White Shark (you'd have no problem convincing the
Department of Justice of that one) and think of ANC as a little pilot fish. At
the end of the day, Micrsoft couldn't give a rats asz about ANC and has no
current need to enter into direct licesning arrangements with ANC; but as long
as Microsoft finds ANC useful (i.e. by ANC providing world class leading edge
affordable datamining software to Microsoft customers so that Microsoft can sell
more databases) then ANC can lead a very prosperous corporate existence existing
alongside Microsoft.
The direct answer to the question is that there have been some direct revenue
generating transactions with Micrsoft. In October, 1999 it was announced that
Microsoft licensed ANC's KnowledgeStudio SDK and in September ,2000 it was
announced that ANC entered into a Development Agreement with Microsoft to
develop the Dataiming SDK. ANC is getting paid directly by Microsoft for that
development work.
His description of the relationship with Broadbase was quite interesting. He
said they originally approaced ANC to do a licensing deal, when Broadbase's
stock was over 100 dollars, which only could have been during the internet
bubble last spring. Apps went on to say that the discussions about a licensing
deal eventually lead to Broadbase suggest that a takeover of ANC would be more
desirable. Broadbase's pitch was "hey, we each hold the keys to the
submarine" to which Eric says he replied "thanks, but no thanks - I
don't know about you guys - but I hold the keys to the entire fleet"
A little deeper drilling into this one is required . Broadbase, until
recently, has been a leader in e-CRM ie customer relationship management using
the Web. They've got a pretty good customer list and they were flying high last
spring. ANC, as we all know, has excellent anaytic technology both for Web and
non-Web applicaitons. Broadbase's comment about keys to the submarine could only
have meant that if we combine our leading technology in Web CRM, with your
(ANC's) leading technology in Web analytics , togerher we'll be the 'King of the
World' (to follow along with the nautical theme). Red Eric's comment about being
the skipper of the entire fleet, can only mean that that he told Boadbase
"hey, I can license my technology to you, to your competitors, to Siebel,
to Peoplesoft, to whoever ,in both Web and non-Web applications, so you need us
more than we need you. Goodbye and Have a nice day!" As Eric went on to
explain at the AGM, Broadbase got Broadsided (my words not his) by the internet
buble bursting and (I'll continue along with the nautical theme) hit an iceburg
and sunk quicker than the S.S. Titanic. The way our Skipper described it at the
AGM, Broadbase has recently been forced to enter into a 'mutual suicide pact'
(Eric's words not mine) and merge with Kana at a price per share equal to
one-half of the cash which will be held by both companies (ie one half cash
value)! This would lead anyone who looks at it come to the conclusion that
neither Broadbase nor Kana, with their respective burn rates, expects that cash
to be around for too long.
Apps seemed genuinely pissed with the Broadbase experience(he even implied
that the licensing arrangement might just have been a thinly vieled attempt by
Broadbase to 'look under ANC's hood' in preparation for a takeover bid). He says
given the impending merger with Kana, Broadbase's attention is focused on basic
survival and away from ANC, and he seemed to imply that we shouln't expect much
from that relationship.
19. What is ANC's current relationship with Whitecross?
Would you characterize the relationship as a success from ANC's point of view?
Please provide details.
ANC and Whitecross first entered into a relationship in 1997, and at the
time, both parties had high hopes for the success of that relationship.
Whitecross is a small UK based private company which has embraced an ASP model
for complex datamining, and a subset thereof, webmining. The ASP model is
essentially one of a customer paying a monthly fee, and Whitecross doing all the
'heavy lifitng' on an outsourced basis. My take is that Whitecross has been
having its own issues with the success of its ASP model and has approached ANC
to see if it can more closely allign (read reduce) its minimum license fee
payments to ANC with the revenue Whitecross is actually earning. Whitecross is
the defaulting technology partner referred to Annual Report. Apps mentioned that
ANC and Whitecross are trying to work things out.
20. What is ANC's current relationship with Siebel and how
has that relationship either progressed or regressed over the course of fiscal
2000. Has there been any recent attempts by ANC to elicit interest from Siebel
to license KnowledgeStudio with a view to integrating/bundling that product into
a Siebel "Analytic CRM" product offering? If not, why not. If yes,
what are the prospects for success of that initiative.
According to Eric everything is going according to plan with Siebel. ANC's
strategy is clearly to play in the same sandlot with the 'big boys' and Siebel
is the 'gorilla' in the CRM space as Apps stated many time. He made the point
that Siebel installations in many instances cost millions of dollars and take
many years to successfully implement from intial planning stages through to
final installation, so we shouldn't be too hurried to see immediate
KnowledgeStudio for Siebel sales (he made essentially the same point last year
and definately won't be in a position to make that point next year, either his
strategy will be proven to be wrong or right). Apps made the point over and over
again about 'redundant functionality' and that competitors such as NetGenesis,
SAS (who appears to be moving into the game), E.piphany, and Broadbase/Kana
offer some form of analytic or datamining CRM product offering, but there is
redundant functionality with offerings of the likes of Siebel, PeopleSoft and
SAP. Apps clearly feels that the Siebel Gorilla and the others will in the not
too distant future embrace e-CRM and, with its hugh installed base, blow the
doors off the niche players in the market. The way Apps explained it, there is
absolutely no redunadant funcitionality with KnowledgeStudio for Sieblel, it is
a very complimentary pure datamining 'plug in' into the Siebel architecture and
doesn't compete with Siebel in the slightest fashion. Apps strategy clearly now
is to swim alongside the 'big boys' ie the Siebels, Microsofts and PeopleSofts
of the world, and pay less attention to the small fries such as Whitecross,
Broadbase and Sybase, although their business is always welcome. Anyway not alot
we can say at this point - time will tell.....
21. What was ANC's rationale for recently
"localizing" KnowledgeStudio into German? Does this have anything to
do with a proposed or planned business relationship with SAP (which has its
headquarters in Germany)?
The question wasn't asked, nor was it dealt with in the 'State of the Union'
address.
Here's a plausible 'conspiracy theory' . SAP has chosen Microsoft's SQL
Server as SAP's reference database. ANC has chosen Microsoft's SQL Server as
ANC's reference database, accordingly there is a plausible link (without even
having reviewed the findings of the Warren Commission) between SAP and ANC, with
MSFTacting as the 'Deep Throat', or connecting link. The computer schematic
would go something like: SAP = MSFT = ANC = SAP (not bad for a non-techie hoser,
eh?)
22. We are now at the mid-point of ANC's 2nd quarter, how
are ANC's lead (i.e., recent) revenue numbers: are they growing or decreasing?
How much of ANC's revenue is derived from maintenance (renewal rate), and how
much is derived from new licensing?
No specifics were given, but Apps did say in the Q&A session that he was
pleased with the way things on the revenue side were progressing. He referred to
the Tools business as a 'cash cow' and said that even in recessionary times,
these products are attractive because they provide datamining power at a
reasonable price (as opposed to SAS, where customers get soaked). He also made
the point that in recessionary times, 'risk management' becomes a bigger issue
for companies as they try to reduce costs through fraud and 'churn' reduction.
He said that ANC's tools are perfectly suited for this. He indicated that real
revenue growth will come from the Enterprise Solutions, such as Studio for
Siebel and Webminer as well as from the customer referral base that the
Datamining SDK bring.
In the scrum after the Q&A session, I think I heard him say that he
wasn't sure if Q2 net numbers would make up for all of the losses suffered in Q1
(even if it's close I'll be happy) but he felt that there was also sufficient
room to easily reduce some expenses to ensure that ANC stayed on its 'path to
profitability".
23. How much of ANC's revenue is derived from existing
customers and what are the reasons for not selling more to existing customers
(i.e., "the mile wide, inch deep" issue of customer penetration)?
No specific numbers were provided. My sense is that historically a lot of the
revenues has come new customers, e.g. there's still a lot of room to penetrate
the exisitng customer list. Apps is quite proud about the breadth of ANC's
customer list. He views it as a list that can be worked and upsold, as
datamining becomes more top of mind in Corporate America. On that point, note
that the major database vendors, being Microsoft, IBM and Oracle all in the last
month have now issued press release crowing about the virutes of datamining and
how their platforms support this important technology. I think he's right.
27. Who does management believe to be ANC's direct
competitors and how is ANC positioning itself to overtake its competitors?
Apps view SAS as ANC's direct competitors for Analyst Tools, not SPSS, which
was a surprise to many of us. Apps said in his talk and in the informal scrum
afterwards that his sales guys just don't see SPSS out there. Apps stated that
SPSS is adept at the PR machine, ie in giving the impression that they're doing
lots of datamining sales, but Apps questioned how much of this is actually pure
datamining sales, as opposed to statistical packages (which is their core
business) rebranded as datamining packages for 'PR' purposes. He did say that
SPSS did have some presence for its datamining tools in the UK, but this is
primarily because the dataming company that SPSS bought to get into the
datamining game a few years ago was based out of the UK.
On the Developer Tools side, there is no real competition.
On the Enterprise Solutions side, ie KnowlwedgeStudio for Siebel, and
Webminer in particular, he mentioned NetGenesis (a Weblap product and a company
that ANC had talks about collaborating with, but in the end they decided to
compete with), E.piphany (the Gorilla in its space) and a new one, Quadstone (www.quadstone.com)
, who call themselves a predictive marketing firm, although Apps stated that
just means they're a warmed over datamining company addressing the retail
marketing side, who doesn't want to use the word 'datamining'.
Apps approach with these guys is hey, Webminer is a superb very focused
product, whereas you guys are trying to be all things to all people, and when
the industry consolidation or shake-out occurs (it's probably happening right
now) you guys, with your massive burn rates, won't be around once the big boys
such as Siebel, PeopleSoft, SAP and Microsoft invade your territory.
29. What percentage of ANC's gross revenues will be
allocated to R&D this year? How does this compare to ANC's competitors like
SPSS and Insightful?
Apps didn't get into specific comparisons or numbers, but he did make the
point that the KnowledgeStudio work bench has 50 'man years' of R&D invested
in it, which is way ahead of the competition.
30. Does ANC envision layoffs in the coming months?
The short answer: No. 31. Please discuss ANC's concept of materiality as it
relates to its public disclosure requirements. Has this concept changed recently
in light of the recent criticisms of technology companies generally about both
"delayed" and "selective" disclosure? If no, why not? If
yes, please provide details.
Apps didn't deal with this question directly, but he referenced his views on
the subject a few times during the Q&A session. Some of the first questions during the Q&A session dealt with ANC's
revenue growth. This, for obvious reasons, is a hot topic for a lot of people
who are starting to get just a little antsey about when we're going to start
seeing ANC's gross revenue numbers move north. The concern can be best summed up
by the 'promise of datamining' (of which we've heard too much) and the 'reality
of datamining' as a lucrative business (which we're still waiting to witness).
The introductory response was that , while he didn't want to sound legalistic
or be evasive, ANC couldn't give predictions about revenues because if it were
wrong, we shareholders might sue the company. I found that answer to be a bit of
a 'rough start'. First of all, you've got a room full of well meaning people,
many of whom have taken off work to come down and find about their company, and
the last thing any of us want to hear is that we're somehow going to be in full
litigation mode if ANC's 'guidance' turns out to be incorrect. Simply put, there
are more delicate ways to articulate the conern.
Second of all, the concept of 'guidance' is currently recognized as a
legitimate and legal way for public companies to disseminate future oriented
financial information. This was not always the case, and the standards are being
relaxed. These days it's done all the time, it just hapens that in these
challenging times , it tends to be in the context of companies guiding their
shareholders and analysts down about future results. The flip-side is that there
is no logical reason why 'guidance' could not be positive, ie 'guiding '
shareholders and analysts up about future results, if that indeed is what the
company is expecting.
Anyway the foregoing is all an aside. As far as I can tell it's business as
usual at ANC about material disclosure. ANC has a high level of materiality and
it isn't moving from that concept, even though the concept of materiality and
'delayed' or 'selective' disclosure seems to be an evolving concept in favour of
disclosing to the public as soon as possible.
32. Why does there seem to be a double standard when it
comes to the public announcement of material news? Why are the announcements
surrounding the development of new products such as Visible Web and
KnowledgeExplorer considered material but then their actual launch or the delay
of such products is not considered material enough to be included in press
releases or quarterly reports? As a further example, why was the announcement of
the Sybase Development Services Agreement considered material but then the
update to that arrangement or cancellation of such an arrangement (if that is
what indeed happened) considered immaterial?
The question wasn't asked, or dealth with in the 'State of the Union'
address.
My take on it is that it is the difference between, on the one hand, the
legal duty to make public announcements about 'material' developments affecting
a company, and on the other hand, the option that a company has to make public
announcements in the context of its ongoing public relations (PR) or marketing
efforts.
The announcements concering VisibleWeb, VisibleWarehouse, KnowledgeExplorer
and Sybase, were all probably public relations/marketing announcements ie they
were probably not considered material to ANC's common share trading price, but
they were probably all considered good things to let the public (ie
shareholders, customers and competitors) know about ANC. The delay in the launch
of those products , the change in the status of ANC's relationship with Sybase
and even the delay in the public announcement by ANC of the Working Ventures
decision (which actually was availabe to the public as soon as it was released,
it's just that practically speaking , it's virtrually impossible for a layman to
track it down) , are probably not, each and of themselves, material to ANC's
trading price and therefore things which legally require a Press Release. From
the public relations/marketing side of things, the company probably didn't want
to revel in it (ie 'rub the world's nose in it') by issuing Press Releases on
those subjects.
It's all a matter of style. Some public companies have a policy that if they
Press Releases for good 'public relations ' type news and there's a change to
that good 'public relations' type news, they Press Release the bad news to close
the information loop. Most other take a more schizo approach when it comes to
the public dissmenination of 'public relations'/marketing type news ie, the good
news gets out, and the bad news, if legally permitted, stays in.
33. What efforts does ANC plan to make to improve its public
and investor relations?
I asked our President this question.
In my view, Eric Apps is at his best when he's speaking about the prospects
for ANC, it's market space, the excellent products that it has, the high quality
of its employees the excellent relationships with major industry players that
have been formed and the prospects for datamining in a world that is literally
exploding with data. You get a real sense of his conviction and his passion for
what he and his team are doing, and we all saw and heard that very clearly at
the AGM. My question to him was what steps are being taken to get that message
out to the investment community? He's got the pitch down pat, why isn't he
making it?
To his credit, Apps acknowledged that ANC could do a better job of promoting
itself and that more effort would be expended on this area in the coming year.
That response was an appropriate and measured one - ANC has been focusing to
date on building its business, all with very limited resources, both from a
financial and manpower perspective. All legitimate points and he's got the room
thinking " Eric, we look forward to the results of that more focused public
and investor relations efforts over the coming year". Leave it and move
on.......
...........Then he starts to ramble........and gets combatitive......
.......and gets 'off message'.........and says (paraphrasing):
"there's no way that this little company is going to hire an investor
relations firm and pay them $25,000 per month plus a bunch of cheap options, and
even if we did, it would be like speaking to a deaf man because the micro-cap
tech markets these days are in such a slump that nobody would listen to our
message anyway" and so on and so on, blah, blah blah (you get the gist) as
I tuned out at that point.
This is, in my humble opinion, where improvement is required: the 'off
message' rambling. In this instance, he took the most excessive example, ie
ivestor relations at a cost of $25,000 per month plus a whack of cheap paper
(options) and uses that as the 'straw man' to dismiss the concept, never
acknowlding that there are lots of intermediate steps along the way which might
be cheaper and more effective. He referenced the sorry state of the micro-cap
equity market, and at that stage probably half the room is thinking, "you
know what, you're right, I should dump this stock right away and get back into
the blue chips".
Again I hate to sound 'preachey' and like a 'know it all' (cause believe me
I'm not), but it is frustrating because it is all very solvable. Public speaking
to investors is an art, it's an acquired skill set that is perfected in two ways
: (i) getting out there and just doing it, over and over and over again; and
(ii) coaching,- there are people in this town who can assist in developing,
refining and perfecting the message and, as important, the method of delivery.
And by speaking to investors I don't mean writing articles (which no doubt is an
important way of communicating - and Eric is a superb writer: the KnowledgeNet
stuff is first rate ) or speaking at trade industry seminars (again, very
important, but for totally different reasons), it means getting the message out
to the broker-dealer community, speaking at the broker lunches that are put on,
securing spots on the likes of ROB TV, speaking to the financial press, all of
which is very 'doable' without spending a ton of money.
A final aside and then I'm done for the day. It involves a little plug, but
bear with me. I'm involved with a group called the Toronto Venture Group (www.tvg.org).
It's a volunteer group that has been operating for about 10 years. We put on
monthly breakfast meetings at the Toronto Board of Trade for the the business
and venture capital community. At each meeting we have a keynote speaker, either
a company that has successfully raised venture capital, or someone from the
venture capital community. Over the years, on the entreprenuer side, we've had
out to speak the likes of Phil Deck, former CEO of Certicom, K.Y. Ho CEO of ATI
Technologies, Anthony DiCristafaro CEO of MGI Softaware. On the investor side
we've had out Paul Cataford, Managing Director BCE Capital, we recently had out
Brian Campbell, who heads the technology investment banking group at National
Bank (he was formerly with Yorkton and was the investment banker on Open Text,
Certicom, Genesis Microchip, Zenastra Photonics, Leitch Technologies ie some
really big Cdn. tech ames). Those are some of the bigger names, we but we also
have out smaller interesting 'up and coming' tech companies out to speak. We
generally have 200 - 250 people out per meeting.
I've literally seen hundreds of investor presentations over the years, and
what comes through time and time again, is that the best presentations are the
one's, regardless of the size of the company, where (a) there is passion (and
believe me, Eric's got it) and (b) there has been practice and coaching
(hopefully it'll come with time).
34. What efforts will ANC be making to elicit
analyst/institutional coverage of its shares?
The question wasn't asked or dealt with specifically in the 'State of the
Union" address.
Apps did say in the scrum afterwards that if he were going to deal with an
institution, it would be a 'blue chip' firm along the lines of CIBC World
Markets, or a TD Newcrest. They've both got great research, and if a little
company like ANC could get interest from those guys, that would be great.
2. What was the reason that ANC did not consummate the equity
financing it was negotiating in the fall of 2000? What is the reason ANC did not
complete a financing in the spring and summer of 2000?
9. Has ANC considered an issuer bid (i.e., stock buy-back)?
11. What is ANC management's rationale for engaging in the
dilutive process of adding options before considering other avenues?
(i) KnowlegeServer for PeopleSoft; (ii) VisibleWeb; (iii) VisibleWarehouse; and
(iv) KnowledgeExplorer.
With respect to the 'visualization products', being VisibleWeb and Visible
Warehouse, they are on the very backburner. To paraphrase Apps, 'our product
development plate is currently full'.
16. What was the rationale for a "royalty fee"
licensing arrangement with Microsoft in connection with the SQL Server
Datamining SDK?
18. What is the ANC's current relationship with Broadbase
Software. ANC's May 2000 news release indicated that Broadbase would initially
be licensing ANC's server products, and ANC hoped that the licensing
relationship would extend beyond this to other ANC products. Has that happened?
If not, in your view, why not?
It's actually all very quite interesting if you read a bit of the literature on
the subject - it's being discussed quite a bit these day in the Business and
Management schools . The thesis is that because shareholder communication has
become so much more efficient (ie cheaper) through the internet, it's actually
having an effect on the the accepted concept of materiality and the duty to
disclose. The bar on materiality, by virtue of the efficiency of the internet
and it's promulgation of more efficient stock markets through the quick
dissemination of information, is actually lowering. Responsible companies are
now saying reflexively that when it doubt, 'Press Release' it, or more
accurately, 'Internet Release' it, as the concept of a Press Release in the
internet age is a misnomer. There's no real direct transaction cost to doing it,
so the transaction 'cost /benefit' impediment that used to exist when deciding
whether to issue a 'Press Release' has gone by the wayside.
D. M&A (MERGERS &
ACQUISITIONS)/STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIP MATTERS
35. What are ANC's plans, if any, for divesting itself of
Smartware?
This question was not asked, nor was it deal with in the 'State of the Union'
address. It's an interesting issue to consider. Assuming that Smartware's normalized
net income is approximately Cdn. $300,000 per annum, and using the 'rule of
thumb' valuation method of 5 times net earnings (ie ensuring the purchaser a 20%
return on investment) Smartware has a value of Cdn 1.5 million dollars. If ANC
could find a buyer, wouldn't tha1.5 million be better used to fund ANC's
datamining business? This is especially so in light of Eric's comments that if
he had the resources to do so, he would hire 16 more salespeople. Again, all of
the foregoing is a 'big if' in terms of finding a buyer and nothing regarding
Smartware was even intimated at the AGM.
37. Please advise on the level of interest from other
companies for M&A transactions with ANC? Again, not a lot of discussion on this topic. Broadbase's desire to do a
merger was discussed in Part B of the AGM questions. Apps mentioned that ANC had
approached NetGenesis about 'collaborating' . The way Apps explained it,
NetGensis has a strong presence in 'WebLAP' while ANC has superior technology in
Webmining. The principal difference between WebLAP and Webmining is that WebLAP
does not contain a predictive element to the analyisis (ie, it is backword
looking in the sense that it takes information from the Web , segments it, and
tells you what happened, all in a very 'user friendly' format), whereas
Webmining takes data from the Web and provides analysts with the tools to
predict what will happen (ie it's forward looking or predictive). The way Apps'
described it, NetGenesis took a pass, and so Apps said that ANC will be
competing with them. If you look at NetGenesis' recent earnings, it looks like
the company is going broke. They have a very large 'burn rate' and don't have a
huge amount of liquid assets. It looks like it was opportune that nothing was
done with NetGenesis, if indeed they were discussing a formal merger, which Apps
did not conclusively state, only that they were looking at 'collaborating'.
Aside from the foregoing, nothing else was discussed.
40. Please comment generally on the impact of mergers in the
data mining industry, as they relate to ANC's partnership arrangements. Many of
ANC's partners have merged with other companies that are either competitors or
have alliances with ANC competitors. For example, Tantau and Eyedent, Customer
Analytics, SASI, etc. Apps dealt with this question directly as it pertained to Customer Analytics.
He explained that Customer Analytics was a company run a very respected academic
in the datamining field, whose name escapes me (a Spanish fellow). Customer
Analytics commissioned a consulting firm to make a recommendation on the best
datamining software to acquire, and the consulting firm recommended ANC, which
led to a licensing deal with Customer Analytics. Apps went on to say that in
June, 2000 Customer Analytics was acquired by Exchange, a CRM company, whose
focus is not currently orientated towards datamining, and therefore there is no
activity on the Customer Analytics/Exchage front.
In the informal scrum, I asked him very briefly about his views on Digimine's
recent acquisition of CoRelation (announced the day before the AGM). Digimine
has been a very interesting company to watch. It was formed by 3 ex-Microsoft
employees, the most high-profile of which is Usama Fayyad, who was head of the
Datamining Research Group at Microsoft before he left to start Digimine Inc, and
who has been the 'poster boy' for datamining over the last number of years.
Digimine has received a ton of press , raised a ton of venture capital money and
has quickly ramped up to about a 100 employees. The company has gone the ASP
route, i.e. they will do your datamining for you on an outsourced basis. As far
as I can tell, Digimine is still bleeding a alot of cash, but it does have some
very deep-pocketed supporters.
When I asked Apps about Digimine's acquisition of CoRelation, which is a
small 12 person datamining tools software company, he didn't seem too concerned.
He said dismissively that if Digimine were indeed intending to get into the
tools business, it didn't say a lot for their ASP business model. He did say
that ANC will monitor Digimine as part of its general competitive market
surveillance.
My take on Digimine is that Apps is probably right when he says that their
ASP model is a bust. The ASP model is attractive primarily to smaller type
companies, and when Digimine started out during the internet craze, I'm sure
their target was the dotcom market, which has now evaporated. However any move
they make into the datamining software tools or platform market should be
watched very carefully. There is no question that Digimine and Usama Fayyad have
an excellent relationship with Microsoft (and they probably have an inside track
with Microsoft). Notwithstanding that they appear to be bleeding money, they
seem to be able to raise financing when they need to. Definately a company to
watch.
43. Please explain the rationale for ANC apparently putting
so much effort into partnerships (Microsoft, Whitecross, Acxiom, Broadbase,
Customer Analytics, Sybase,) when they appear to have only generated
approximately $320K in revenues in fiscal 2000, $180K of which appear to be
doubtful accounts? Does management foresee these relationships generating
"significant revenues" over the next few years? Please describe for
the shareholders what management's definition of "significant" is.
The question was asked (not exactly as set out above) and wasn't dealt with
by Apps in a clear or convincing manner, although he did reference the matter
indirectly when he was speaking about the status of vaious partnerships.
Whitecross, Sybase, Customer Analytics and Broadbase are all essentially
relationships that have 'gone off the rails' in one form or another, so they
weren't good for much in terms of revenue during fiscal 2000. Revenue from
Acxiom was probably neglible, although he didn't mention them specifically.
Microsfoft was dealt with in some detail, as described in Part B, but not in
terms of revenue and the clear implication with them is that the best is yet to
come. You really got the sense in listening to Apps that his partnership strategy
has changed, and ANC is really focusing on the 'big boys' now, ie the Cap Gemini
Ernst & Young, Accenture or PriceWaterhouseCoopers' of the world ( or
whoever this professional services firm is that they are hoping to announce a
strategic relationship with shortly), the Siebels, Peoplesofts and Microsofts.
I'm also personally rootingg for SAP as well, although I haven't got a clue if
that is on the horizon.
44. Does Microsoft have any financial risk (i.e., through
minimum purchase obligations) with ANC? Are they obligated to pay ANC for the
development of the Data Mining SDK.
As far as I can tell, Microsoft does not have any financal risk with ANC
through minimum purchase obligations for ANC's products. It does have some
financial risk in the sense that it is paying ANC to develop the Datamining SDK
for 'royalty free' distribution by Microsoft to the developer community. What
risk Microsoft does have with ANC, might be more aptly be referred to as 'reputational
risk', that is to say that it is putting at risk its reputation by promoting
ANC's Datamining SDK on the Microsoft Website and by permitting ANC entry into
the Microsoft DataWarehouse Alliance as a Gold member.
E. LITIGATION MATTERS
45. What is the current status of the Working Ventures
litigation? Given ANC's share price, is ANC inclined to accept the $300,000
tendered by WV and issue the shares?
Apps indicated that the Working Ventures appeal would be heard in the next
few weeks and ANC is fighting it all the way. ANC lost at the trial level, and is required to issue 1,200,000 common shares
against payment of $300,000 (ie 25 cents per share) by Working Ventures.
According to Apps, there is no legal liability to ANC other than the delivery of
the common shares against payment.
Apps went out of his way to say that there is nothing personal with Working
Ventures, it's all just business and that some of the outside directors of ANC
have a very good relationship with Working Ventures. What came through in the
meeting is that it is very personal for Apps - he's furious with ANC and seemed
(in an odd way) pleased with the fact that ANC's share price now is where it is
(ie the basement) because at 34 cents, it will force Working Ventures to make a
'real investment decision' as he said.
Apps made the odd point that by refusing to issue Working Ventures the shares
a year ago December, he had done us shareholders a favour, because all Working
Ventures would have done was turn around and sell those shares into the market
at an obscene profit to us unsuspecting shareholders. By restricting the number
of shares outstanding, he seemed to be saying that he was protecting us from our
urge to buy overpriced ANC shares. Not a big point, but another example of fuzzy
logic and 'off topic messaging'.
46. What is the current status of the Trifox settlement. Are
they in good standing with their settlement payments? Does ANC have any plans to
exercise its rights under the settlement to participate in future financing
transactions involving Trifox?
This question was not asked in the Q&A session, nor was it dealt with in
the 'State of the Union' address. Other shareholders have commented that in the
scrum, Lon Vining said that ANC has no intention of investing in Trifox (I
wasn't there for all of the scrum).
F. FUTURE "GUIDANCE"
MATTERS
47. Knowing what you know about this company and based
solely on the information which you possess today (i.e., discounting any
possible future positive or negative developments), please provide
"guidance" as to how long it will take , in your view, for ANC to
achieve gross revenues of say, $10 million or other significant revenue growth.
The question was not asked specifically, however there were a number of
questions dealing with the issue of when ANC can expect to see significant
revenue growth. As described in Part C, Eric did not want to give out any
specific numbers. He dealt with the topic of future growth by dealing with each
of the company's business units on very general terms, namely analyst tools,
developer tools and enterprise solutions.
With respect to analyst tools, as previously described, Eric called this
business a cash cow. In his view this business will just keep ticking along,
even in recessionary times, because the products are reasonably priced (as
opposed to SAS, where the customer gets hosed, regardless of where they are in
the business cycle) and these tools can ultimately help companies save money. He
called the anlyst tools business the 'meat and potatoes' part of the business,
ie, there is not alot of sex appeal, but these are higher volume, and very high
margin sales, which pay the bills and allow ANC to get its foot in the door with
a company, so that it can pitch the 'higher value' products. With respect to the
Excel and Access 'Ad Ins' he acknowledged that they weren't selling that much,
mainly because not alot of marketing was being applied to these products,
however he did mention that one of the ancilliary benefits of the 'Add-Ins' was
that they were one of the reasons that the professional services firm (Cap
Gemini Ernst & Young??) decided to go with ANC. Eric said that at this
stage, he did not think that Microsoft at this stage is interested in bundling
the 'Ad-Ins', however, ANC was in the process of developing a strategy for more
effectively marketing the 'Ad-Ins'.
With respect to the Developer Tools business unit, again, we've covered that
ground in previous discussions on Microsoft and the Datamining SDK.
What Eric really seemed to get pumped up about is the Enterprise Solutions
business unit, which is composed of KnowledgeStudio for Siebel and
KnowledgeWebminer. According to Apps, these sales have the potential to be in
the six figures, and big six figures at that.
With respect to Siebel, he indicated that they have their own way of doing
things and in order to move up the ladder in that organization, it's a question
of staying power and getting the account managers at Siebel familiar with your
product. Eric said ANC has spent the better part of last year doing just that.
He stated everything is going according to plan with the Siebel datamining
product and that the sales guys are out there pitching it hard to prospective
customers.
With respect to KnowledgeWebminer, as reported by others, there has been one
installation of that product at a multinational pharmaceutical company, and the
Vice-President of that company was on record as saying to ANC and his own staff
at a debriefing session that the installation was 'as close to a home run as you
can get', meaning that the installation was a smashing success. Apps did say
that it was an actual commercial sale, and it could lead to follow-on sales to
that company in the magnitude of the mid- six figures. Apps indicated that this
initial installation would act as a reference site for other companies
considering aquiring Webminer, and that the pharmaceutical company will gladly
act as a reference. Webminer is sold on an ASP, as well on an 'outright sale'
basis. Clearly both Webminer and KnowledgeStudio for Siebel are big dollar sales
and we'll have to wait and see what they will add to revenues this year.
On the topic of revenue growth, I get the feeling that Apps will very much be
under the gun from his own Board to deliver this year. After the meeting, I
introduced myself to the Chairman of the Board, Mr. Joe Martin, and asked him
what he thought ANC's sales might be this year. He said the directors were all
going to dinner that night and in a somewhat exasperated fashion said, " I
don't know, but I want to get the answer to that question myself". Maybe
I'm reading too much into it, but he definately gave the impression that he
wants to see significant sales increases this year.
48. Can you comment on the recent "Kdnuggets.com"
polls:
(a) Expectations for Data Mining in 2001 (http:/www.kdnuggets.com/polls/dm_industry_2001_expect.htm)
(b) ANC's positioning in the Data Mining market according to the following 2
polls:
- in webmining (http://www.kdnuggets.com/pools/web-mining.htm))
- in data mining (hhtp:/www.kdnuggets.com/polls/dm_tools_oct_2000.ht)
G. MANAGEMENT/PERSONNEL MATTERS
49. How is the morale among ANC employees? What, in your
view, would prevent employees from leaving ANC to go to "greener
pastures" (ie, higher paying competitors)?
The quesion was not asked or dealt with specifically in the 'State of the
Union' address. However, Apps did reference the subject indirectly a number of
times during the meeting. He made the point that in his view there was a real
'team approach' at ANC, and gave the impression that this 'team approach' was a
relatively new phenomenon at ANC. He definately gave the impression that morale
was very good at ANC and that the company was growing not just in absolute
terms, but also in terms of the depth of management. He indicated that there
were 45 employees in total and that key management spots were being filled. The
Q1 interim report also makes the point that even during this very difficult
period in the stock market for 'microcap' companies, some of ANC's employees
were adding to their shareholdings by purchases made through the market, or
through the exercise of their stock options. He also indicated this at the
meeting, and said that is was an example of the faith that people 'in the know'
(ie the employees) had in ANC's future. One thing I did find a little strange (and not to read too much into it) was
that Ken Ono, the Chief Technology Officer (and really the heart and soul of
ANC's development efforts over the years) left the meeting early. Now, he might
have had another meeting to go to, but it is somewaht odd because in my
experience senior management usually does stick around after the meeting to
'meet and greet' shareholders. Again, I don't think much can be read into it,
but it is an observation.
The issue of ANC's ability to pay competitive salaries and the associated
issue of ANC's deeper pocketed competitors poaching ANC's people was dealt with
indirectly through the vote on the resoultion to increase the size of the stock
option plan to 5.9 million shares. The vote was handled by way of a ballot,
which means that there was a formal vote count conducted by the scrutineer of
the meeting, whose job it is to conduct an actual vote count if the Chairman
requires it. For non-contentious matters, such as the appointment of Ernst &
Young as the company's auditors, a ballot (ie vote count) is never conducted -
the vote is done very quickly by way of a show of hands. The company obviously
knew going into the meeting that the increase in the stock option plan was going
to be contentious, and Joe Martin, the Chairman of the Board, indicated right
from the start that there would be a formal vote count. Anyway, the vote on the
options narrowly (I think) passed (I think it was something like 55% in favour
and 45% against but that may have been the vote on the resolution to allow them
to issue up to 25% of shares to do a financing, I can't remember) but in any
event during Apps' pitch to the shareholders to approve the increase, he said
that he needed it to ensure that he could retain as well as attract top talent,
so obviously one way they are going to try to deal with 'poaching' by their
competitors is to heavily incent key employees to stay by 'loading them up' (my
words not Apps') with options - which makes good sense to me.
A final related issue to finding and keeping top talent is the state of the
technology markets generally. In my opinion, the soft tech markets actually
benefit a small company like ANC from a human resources point of view. Good
people are now more readily available (hopefully at more reasonable rates)
because the rabid competition for employees that was driven by the major
technology companies during the boom has subsided with all the lay-offs that are
happening at the those major technology companies and, for that matter, the
smaller ones as well. As indicated earlier, there was not the slightest hint
that layoffs would occur at ANC.
50. Eric Apps became the President of ANC during a troubled
period (ie. TRIFOX, negative working capital) and did a good job in stabilizing
ANC; does he see himself as the right man to lead ANC into the future (lawyer
vs. technology leader)?
Questions 50 and 51 are essentionally the same, so I'll try to deal with them
as one, although neither questions were specifically asked during the Q&A
session. A litle background is helpful. I first got interested in ANC during the
troubled period the company was going through under what was known as the 'Lynne
Stetham regime'. Lynnette Stethem was, prior to Apps' accension, the President
and CEO of ANC and was the founder of the predecessor of ANC is 1984. Anyway, a
very good friend of mine (still is) who, at the time was a research analyst at
Cannacord Capital, said that I had to take a look at this tiny company operating
in downtown Toronto with some very neat technology (essentially the company was
a 'one trick pony' with KnowlegeSeeker), but he did warn that operationally the
company was a complete mess. The though in taking a closer look was thats there
might be a value investing opportunity (the point being that companies that have
neat technology and are well run are probably correctly priced in the market).
By way of further background, Griffiths and Cannacord co-led an offering of
shares in ANC in 1995 (well before I had any knowledge of the company) and
therefore Cannacord had a pretty good knowledge of ANC.
The way things were explained to me, during the 'Stethem regime' the company
had raised a ton of dough, and had burned through most of it by spending large
amounts on marketing to try to increase the awareness of datamining (there
virtually was none at the time and the marketing campaign didn't help one bit -
I think the expression is 'like lighting a cigar with a $100 dollar bill'). At
the time, ANC was attempting to sell its product on a 'shrink wrapped' basis and
through an OEM hardware strategy (ie hey, lets get the KnowledgeSeeker software
pre-loaded into PC's). As it turned out, the strategy was a complete disaster (ie
the shrink wrap product definately didn't make it on of the 'Top 100 ' Titles
List at Circuit City) , and even if KnowlegeSeeker was 'pre-loaded' into PC's
(that intiative never really got off the ground, but I think it was how James
Estill came on the Board as his company ( EMJ) was and is a wholesaler of
computers and peripherals) the software was so damned specialized and
complitcated that nobody really knew how to use it (I'm exagerating here a
little bit for dramatic purposes).
So, against the backdrop of a failing business strategy and a company that
was burning through the little cash it did have at a horrific rate, Lynne
Stethem appeared to be on the verge of a nervous breakdown. Dysfunctionality
reigned supreme throughout the entire ANC organization and the one thing I can
vividly remember is that they had some incredibly tackey 'Herb Tarlick' sales
guy, who gave a whole new meaning to the saying "dressed like a truck
driver going to court" It was a mess and in retrospect, was a classic
example of a company going public way too early, and having millions of dollars
thrown at it without having any even remotely proven business strategy.
So I call up my friend at Cannacord and say "this company is a royal
p.o.s. and your're supposed to be my friend?". To which he replied, "I
know, I know, but its got world class technology, really, so take some play
money and give it a whirl". At that point, he didn't need to pitch me any
more as I was hooked on the technology and ready to play, so I pushed my chips
into the pot and said "let it ride!"
Anyway, Cannacord and Griffiths had to do something as they were looking like
complete idiots to their investors, and so (I may have the order wrong) Stethem
and Herb Tarlick were made to walk the plank, Apps came on the Board as an
outside director who knew something about corporate finance, and this fellow
,John Mangold, was promoted from V.P. to President. Mangold actually seemed like
a pretty good guy, but a bit timid ie, he didn't telegraph decisiveness or
strength (and who can blame him given the mess he was left to deal with). To his
credit, however, I think he was the one, together with Ken Ono, who got ANC on
the KnowledStudio workbench track (ie moving the company away from being a 'one
trick pony'), he successfully saw the company through the trial statge of the
Trifox litigation, and he negotiated the deal with Working Ventures, which
unfortunately ultimately cratered and left the company broke........
......So at that point exit John Mangold and enter Eric Apps....... who left
his law practice (although not immediately) to run ANC, which is where ,from a
managment standpoint, we stand today.
Any assessment of Apps' ability to effectively lead the company in the future
must , in part, be judged against the backdrop of those who in the past
attempted to lead the company and ultimately failed. Judged in that light, Apps'
tenure has been an incredible success. The company has returned to fianancial
strength and has expanded its product offering. It has broadened its
partnerships as well as its business strategy, which now includes 3 very
distinct business units, being Anayst Tools, Developer Tools and Enterprise
Solutions. The company has also succeeded in building out its management team.
All of this has been done on a very limited financial budget. Quite frankly,
he's earned the right to lead the company forward and I personally think he has
the right stuff to do it. Joe Martin, the Chairman of the Board, said as much
(on behalf of the Board) very publicly at the AGM, stating that Eric has done a
fabulous job to date.
Now having said that, is there room for improvement? Of course. I think a big
area of improvement is with respect to public and investor relations . He's got
to get his hands dirty, rub elbows more often with the broker/dealer investment
community and yes, even experience the 'seedier side of the street' ie, by
making presentations even to those brokerage firms who aren't 'blue chip'. He's
got to get out there and create a buzz, tell the story with enthusiasm ( it's
actually a great story and he's got one hell of a presentation). He's got to
communicate more often directly with his shareholder and hold the quarterly
conference calls (its cheap and easy to do) to allow shareholders to hear him
and the CFO analyze quarterly results, regardless of the fact that the company
is small and no analysts may be listening. If the story is as good as Eric says
it is, the analysts will eventually come and in the interim, it'll be good
practice for him and Lon Vining. Also don't forget that there's a potential
audience of 8,000 shareholders who, if they are communicated with directly more
often, may tell two friends......who may tell two friends....... and so
on....... and so on. At the end of the day, even though it may be a dirty word,
he's gotta get out there and promote (in the best sense of the word, of course).
Another small area is with respect to litigation - this little company has
had way too much litigation! I have a sneaking (unconfirmed) suspicion that the
hard-ball approach to litigation eminates from the top. Now having said that, to
be fair, Trifox and Working Ventures didn't come about because of anything Apps
did ( they all pre-dated him and Trifox was ultimately successfully settled),
but its the decision to let those claim linger that, I think, is at issue. I
personally take a very Zen-like approach to litigation, that is to say, I
believe litigation begets bad Karma and that nothing good comes from it. Yes,
you've got to stand up for your rights and all that other important stuff, but
business is not about curing cancer and other high-minded things like that, at
the end of the day it's about finding the elusive middle ground, compromising,
doing deals and making money. The Working Ventures claim is a perfect example.
Eric and for that matter, all of us, have every reason to be livid. ANC was at
the last minute left at the alter by Working Ventures pulling of the $2 million
financing at the last minute in the spring of 1998. The company nearly went
broke, it lost some very good people and the whole fiasco probably put the
company back 2 years in terms of its product development schedule. Could you
imagine what ANC would have looked like during the tech bubble of last spring if
it had had the use of that $2 million dollars for 2 years startingfrom early
1998? The company would have looked superb. Anyway, the point is that there is
every reason for frustration, however, the fact is that ANC was suing a very
respected, and probably the best know, venture capital firm in Canada.
Prospective financiers look at that. The financing community is very small.
These people speak to each on a regular basis. Litigation forces you to air your
dirty laundry to a prospective investor, to which they're probably thinking,
"gosh, if we don't do the deal is ANC going to sue us too?!" To get
off this topic because I'm quickly becoming depressed, litigation is 100%
negative energy and nothing good ever comes from it!
54. In your view, does ANC currently have
"world-class" people running each of its departments (i.e., sales,
development, marketing etc.)? What are the credentials needed to succeed, and
does the current team possess them?
A company is nothing more than the people who work for it. If the people are
no good, not even a first call product suite and all the money in the world can
stave off disaster. Apps was adamant on the point that ANC's people are first rate and are now
all working very closely together as a team. The company has built out its
management team to include the President (Eric Apps), the Chief Technology
Officer (Ken Ono), the CFO (Lon Vining), the Director of Sales (Pav Treskin, and
there are 6 sales people in total) , the VP Consulting Services (Dr. Memduh
Refaat and there are 6 consultants in total), a Director of Reasearch and
Development (Bob Camm, a new hire who reports to Ken Ono in order to alleviate
Ken Ono's workload. I think there are about 20 developers in total), the
Director of Business Development (a new hire to focus on the strategic
relationships ANC has with Microsoft, Siebel, and probably the 2 new
relationships yet to be announced, as well as creating new ones), the Managing
Director for the UK operations (Nigel Bishop) and a Director of Services for the
UK (a new hire), who reports to the Managing Director.
The foregoing to me is very exciting as it shows that the managment team is
being built out in anticipation of growth. The Director of Business Development
is an interesting one. I would think that the job description there is to create
new relationships with partners and to ensure that ANC stays 'in the face' of
its existing partners ie the Siebels and Microsfofts of the world to ensure that
those relationships are properly leveraged. It's a new hire so we'll have to
wait and see.
That's it for the Fiscal 2000 AGM Q&A.